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  • Hot, Flat, Crowded -thoughts

    • 23 Feb 2009
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    • Environment Greenhouse gas Population growth Solar energy Thomas Friedman World Without US books business climate change personal uniqe ability
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    I recently finished Thomas Friedman's latest book: Hot, Flat, Crowded and I loved it.  He does a great job describing the major problems facing our increasingly hot, flat, and crowded world, which include booming population growth, more energy demand, a changing climate, and rapidly accelerating biodiversity loss.  (Rapidly accelerating biodiversity loss is a topic covered in detail by A World Without US, a book I loved and recommend) It's hard to become aware of the some of the issues he discusses in this book (and even more so in A World Without US) and not feel  overwhelmed by the size of the problems.  We have very real issues to deal with, all of which more or less come back to a rapidly expanding human population (from loss of habitat, major energy problems, diminishing resources, and human driven climate change), and these generally are not things that can be fixed overnight.  What's also frustrating is that these issues require solutions that require the ability to think and act in the best interest of the long term, something that I think 95% of people on the planet struggle to do, especially in government.  The US system, in my opinion, really suffers from horrible nearsightedness.  The way we elect our governing body, we really don't provide any incentive for elected officials to look beyond 2, 4, 6, or at best 8 years.  It's really hard to plan for and start to act on big things that take time, when people are judging you on your results today.  I guess all of this isn't particularly hopeful...but that's actually the opposite of how I felt coming away from the book.  I am very hopeful. I'm hopeful because I see a shift. I see people moving away from recognizing these things as big problems, and starting to see them as Huge opportunities.  I'm going to put aside the "Obama" effect for now, although I do think it is very real and just focus in on more of what I'm hearing from people directly (or reading).  (By the way, when I say "Obama," effect I'm talking about the hope for the future people seem to be experiencing as the result of him being in office.  I think whether or not you think he will be a good president is irrelevant, because I think the hope people feel is incredibly powerful and has already seeded great things to come in the future.  On a personal level,  just think how much more effective you are in doing whatever you do when you feel optimistic about it. ) Anyway, I"m very hopeful because it seems like more and more people I talk to are not only aware of these many issues facing us described in the book, but many are doing their part to create solutions.  And what's even more exciting about those looking for solutions is that they are not doing things in a charitable way (doing good because it's the right thing to do..which of course is far from a bad thing), but they are doing it because there are tremendous economic opportunities in these solutions.  In my countless iterations of personal and professional missions, I've always held the phrase "Doing good is great for business," high on my list.  The problems we face today have come together to create the environment where that is absolutely true.  By seeking solutions, you're creating tremendous opportunities for yourself, and the world. I look to my friend Ross and his very dynamic company Univenture as an example of this.  Ross is what I think of when I hear the term "inventor / entrepreneur."  He's built quite an amazing company in Univenture through his constant tinkering.  A few years ago he saw the cost of plastics rising quickly.  Plastics are a big cost for a company that creates plastic cases.  He wanted to find a way to cut his expenses.  He also was troubled by the long term effects of putting all these plastic products out in the world, so he sought to create a new solution, one that would be a win/win.  He'd have lower and more stable material costs, while significantly reducing his long term environmental effects.  Through his constant tinkering he discovered a way to create usable, plastic like material from algae.  In his experimentation with Algae, he's discovered all sorts of opportunities...everything from waste processing to bio-fuel.  He's pumping significant amounts of money, his money, into algae exploration. He's got a readymade buyer for his algae based plastics (his company), and he's got the entrepreneurial experience to create real business opportunities from his other discoveries.  He's creating another real business that will make the world a better place both economically and environmentally...a true win/win. Another one of my favorite businesses that is making a big difference through a simple improvement is a company called BigBelly Solar. I don't know anyone from the company personally, I'm just admirer, but I have read up on them quite a bit.  Basically they are trying to cut down on litter, habitat destruction fuel use, carbon emissions all through an efficient trash can. Yes, a trash can.  How?  Simple (apparently).  They have created solar powered trash compactors (there are a few here in NYC, including one by my apartment in Union Square).  The compactors (powered by the sun) mean that the trash cans have to be emptied less often (let's say 2 times a week instead of 6), which means you have less overflow litter and significantly lower fuel use by garbage trucks that have to drive around and collect.  It's truly a win/win, and one heck of a business I would bet with true international potential. I could go on and on with stories like those above that make me excited and hopeful (by the way the opportunities extend far beyond doing "green," things...there are great opportunities to empower people, such as a service I love called edufire) I think more than ever people are realizing the scope of the problems we face, and seeing those problems as huge opportunities to create, huge opportunities to be entrepreneurs.  I think that's really exciting...a new era where being a successful entrepreneur is about creating a win/win/win situation for yourself, employees and customers, and the planet as a whole.  I want to be part of this new group.
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  • Weatherbill...a market for wacky weather protection

    • 19 Jan 2007
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    • business climate change stocks tech weather
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    One of my favorite blogs, Paul Kedrosky's Infections Greed has a post today on a new company called WeatherBill.
    WeatherBill is:

    In effect, a tool to allow people to create their own weather-related
    short- and long-term insurance policies -- and it will appeal to a
    broad swath of companies whose business are weather-affected.

    It appears to essentially be a marketplace where people can first evaluate what bad weather costs them in terms of sales, then they can purchase short or long term insurance plans to cover themselves from these losses going forward. On the other side it gives investors the opportunity to own these contracts or create their own that businesses can purchase. It appears it may definitely take some work to build up an efficient market, but I believe that the rapidly changing and increasingly sporadic weather makes a service like this definitely worth watching.

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  • First snow!

    • 10 Jan 2007
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    • climate change nyc personal weather
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    This morning I spotted my first snowflake of the year while walking through Washington Sq. Park. Others spotted it, and recorded it. The National Weather Service recorded the snow officially at 9:55am in Central Park, making this the latest occurrence of the first winter snowfall in the park since records began more than 100 years ago. Without getting too deep in my nerd weather talk, there is a definite pattern shift occurring, and temps should be normal (around 33 for highs, which we'll be above today) or below normal over the next month or so. I'm also excited by the timing because Feb historically is the snowiest month for New York City, with almost all of the major snowstorms in city history occurring in the month. In fact, there's some proof a decent Nor'easter could occur in the next 10-15 days. With the new cold in NYC came the announcement yesterday, that 2006 was the warmest year ever recorded worldwide, and about 1.2 degrees above the normal worldwide mean temp of 55F. That may not sound like much, but is significant and most likely a record soon to be broken again (most likely in next 5-10 years). Six of the 10 warmest winters in US history have occurred in the last 15 years, and I think we'll continue to break records like this. Winters like this will continue to accelerate the melting of Artic Ice cover, until we are free of Artic Ice cover in summertime of 2040 (hard to believe!), according to a study released last month, which quite frankly would be very, very bad. I'm not proclaiming the end of the world, nor am I saying we should all go out and buy hybrids, I'm just presenting some more background on this winter's unbelievable weather, that some say has not been seen since before the last ice ages occurred roughly 110,000 years ago. That's pretty amazing. Oh well, now on to check out the odds over at tradesports (yes, you can gamble on weather, crazy) for NYC snowfall..I think the 10inches contract looks good!
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  • Winter Warmth...

    • 8 Jan 2007
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    • climate change links weather
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    NYC tied the all-time warmest January temp ever yesterday with a high of 72, a full 34 degrees higher than the norm. NYC has only hit 70 in jan 3 times since 1869. Just crazy! Winter Warmth...
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  • More on unusual warmth

    • 4 Jan 2007
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    • climate change nyc weather
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    As you may be able to tell by now, I'm very interested in weather and climate change and somewhat alarmed by this winter's warmth. (take a look at the 5 day for new york:
    Media_httpfarm1static_djmbg
    ) In a post over on Wunder Blog, Dr. Jeff Master's went into further detail on just how unusual this widespread winter warmth and lack of snow really is. Look at the departure from normal snow depths at this time of year:
    Media_httpwwwwundergr_vbeca
    You'll see that places like Michigan's Upper Peninsula that normally are buried under 2 feet of snow this time of year, have barely seen an inch. Despite all the news coverage about blizzards in Colorado, this past December really was exceptionally warm, with temps running on average of 5-20 degrees above normal. But warm winters happen, and although they have been happening a lot more recently, this winter seems different. The earth has a way of balancing things out, so as it is exceptionally warm in one place like it has been here, it usually is exceptionally cool in another place (like Europe or Russia). This winter, however, has been incredibly warm across the Northern Hemisphere (although the summer in the Southern Hemisphere has been below normal). From Dr. Masters:
    A persistent kink in the jet stream pattern typically sets up in these cases, pumping cold air from the pole down to one region, and warm subtropical air northwards into an adjacent region. However, that is not the case this year. Land areas in huge areas of the Northern Hemisphere, including most of Asia (Figure 4), have temperatures well above normal. This is something I've never seen before--there's almost no cold Arctic air to be found.
    Why is this scary, and potentially dangerous to have such warm winters?
    The Arctic Ice Cap has shrunk by about 20% since 1979, and at the end of November this year, the amount of sea ice in the Arctic was about 2 million square kilometers less than had even been seen in any previous November. December has also seen the lowest sea ice coverage for any December on record. All this exposed water provides a huge source of heat and moisture in the Arctic that retards the formation of the usual cold air masses over the adjacent regions of Canada and Siberia... the record low sea ice in the Arctic is probably a significant contributor to this winter's record warmth.
    He ends with:
    I expect that the unnaturally warm winters we've experienced the past two years in the U.S. will become the norm ten years from now--and may already be the new norm.
    I know I've been posting a lot about the excessive warmth we've seen this winter, but I can't really believe it. I've only been a "weather geek," for about 15 years but I do know for sure that there certainly has been nothing like this since I've been alive, and most likely since anyone reading this has been alive. It seems to me that climate change is not going to be something that happens gradually over hundreds of years, but more likely something that happens very quickly in a rapid chain reaction. The melting of the Artic ice caps is happening and will (as mentioned above) prevent normal cooling in winters, which will melt more ice caps more quickly, which will mean warmer winters, which will melt more ice caps even more quickly...etc. It appears to be happening.
    I guess the obvious question I need to ask myself is, what can I do personally to make a difference?

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